Showing posts with label Hyperinflation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hyperinflation. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Path to self destruction

“I'm just a patsy”, that's what Lee Harvey Oswald said just before he was shot. I think the banks are the patsies and the culprit at the same time. All these bail outs and public debt is not because of anything other than the banks failing, but the question is why are we even bailing them out. Now, all the people who said these banks were going to fail are now saying let them fail, including the countries that are failing as well. So, where's the logic in all of this?



Let's look at the banks for just a second. The banks made all these bad loans, packaged them up and sold them to investors. This allowed the banks to give the money out while betting against people being able to pay their loans. I would love to bet both sides, but I don't go to race tracks, and the stock market is the biggest form of legalized gambling in the world. Because of federal regulation the banks were required to give out a certain percentage of bad loans. The banks got two sweeteners to do this. The banks were able to write off the bad loans on their taxes if people defaulted and the government secured the debt.


My question is did the banks do this on purpose to get richer or did they just get greedy and didn't have any consequences for their actions? I think it's a combination of both. Anyone in their right mind would go after more wealth if they could, so increasing the amount of high risk loans to get more to write off and not even really lose any money would be in their best interest. For the banks, there's no losing, so why not be reckless? The politicians made these deals so they could say they did a good thing and the banks made out like bandits.


Now the States are in trouble. I went to the usdebtclock.org and looked at my home state, Oregon, I saw that we're only at 23% debt to GDP. Thinking to myself I began to ask, was this all a scare tactic by the media? The answer is no. Let's look at New Jersey for example. New Jersey has about 17% debt to GDP. New Jersey has $8 billion in revenue, $11 billion in debt, and is short $10 billion dollars. New Jersey has started cutting services so that they've actually come out with a $400 million surplus this year according to Governor Chris Christie, so their debt to GDP is going down. The thing to see here is that if New Jersey decided to borrow money instead of cut back, their debt to GDP would go from 17% to around 34%. This doesn't give long before the state is at 100% of debt to GDP.


Most, if not all, States require that a budget be balanced every year. So, for most states you're going to have to cut services, cities too. What I find to be absolutely backward is that these states and cities are choosing to pay for pension liabilities while cutting essential services like police, fire, and rescue. A great example of this would be Detroit. Detroit is reducing coverage of 20% of its city because of budget shortfalls while not expecting any concessions from the police, fire, and rescue. Another example would be Illinois. Illinois is about 6 months behind on payments, not even local gas stations will accept state credit cards for gas. What is Illinois doing with their money, paying pensions and shorting everyone else?


These people, who I regard highly, that are asking to let these states and institutions fail aren't really looking at the unintended consequences. My favorite quote from Chris Martenson is “the next 20 years will not be like the last 20 years”. People like Peter Schiff and Bob Chapman see this as a good thing, but let's look at what will happen in the event of a collapse.


In the event of a collapse or letting states and institutions fail, there will be a giant power grab by Washington's elite, bankers, and corporations. Everyone is going to want to have a stake in the pie because they want to keep what they have. The banks want their wealth, even if it means 50 years of depression. The corporations want to make sure they stay in business because they'll be in power once everything settles. The politicians, they're just power hungry, they believe that we're their servants instead of the other way around. The one thing they forgot is that when people are oppressed enough, they will revolt, that's what started the American Revolution in 1776.


I think that what people don't realize, except the politicians in Washington, is that we've been groomed for so long to feel that we're entitled to certain things. Since the Great Depression, no one in this country has ever felt true hardship. We've become so accustomed to our lives, our trinkets, and our entitlements that we'll follow anyone who promises to keep us comfortable. In the end, I don't think freedom and inalienable rights will win out, but entitlements and complacency will win the day.


At this point it doesn't matter what you believe in, as long as you believe in something, which has been missing from this country for a long time. If you're like me, you believe in Natures God and that this is an inevitable cycle that we're going through. The Earth can only handle so many people before the people start to get crowded. With crowding comes excessive wars, famine, death, corruption, and greed. Although many people talk about global warming and our carbon footprint, they forget that Nature has it's own supernatural powers. You can only have so much of something before you have nothing then you're led down the path of self destruction, which is where we as a planet and country are heading.

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Federal Reserve Bankrupting America

Does history repeat itself? Are we in the verge of repeating the Weimar Republics mistake? I think the answer to both questions is yes. On the day after the elections when everybody is still discussing the results, the Federal Reserve is holding the QE2 meeting. In this meeting they will discuss a second stimulus to put more money into the system. From early speculation the Fed could be putting out between 500 Billion to 1.2 Trillion dollars into our economy. There are two problems with this meeting and the outcome. The first is that congress has no say in this, yay Republicans, and secondly, that this will devalue our currency even more.


The Weimar Republic is post WWI Germany. They had a revolution that was started by 3 sailors who pretty much started a coupe. Under the Weimar Republic the political atmosphere was a lot like we have here in the U.S., a lot of left and right wing people trying to get along. The Weimar Republic used a currency called the “Papiermark”. The Papiermark quickly devalued by going from 4.2 per U.S dollar to over 1 trillion per U.S dollar. The reason this currency was devalued so much was because they couldn’t stop printing money to pay their debts. The German public was completely unaware of all the money being printed. Later on they would start using the “Rentenmark” which was backed by the value of land. Eventually Germany became a member of the League of Nations with veto power. Over a period of just a couple of years the Rentenmark had the same issues as the Papiermark and started devaluing again. This is eventually what led to WWII Germany.

The general public, and I would even venture to say 99% of everyone in this country, does not know that the U.S. credit rating was lowered from an AAA to an AA rating along with other nations on July 13th of this year, some of whom are having riots in the streets as we speak. With the growing national debt reaching an even higher percentage of our GDP, some say 89%; we become an even higher risk to default. No one would loan you money to buy a house with that type of debt to income and neither would another country.

With our current policy over the last 30 years we’ve been taxing and spending our country away into debt oblivion. Now that the rest of the world is refusing to or at least staying away from buying U.S. debt, we now have to look at the Federal Reserve to bail us out and stimulate the economy. Not many people know that the Federal Reserve is not a U.S. government entity and also that it loans us our own currency at an interest rate.

In order to stimulate the economy the Federal Reserve will be printing money and buying its own bonds in order to keep interest rates low and because the U.S. has almost reached its “Debt Ceiling”, this won’t be voted on again until January.

This is where we are starting to repeat the Weimar history. Since the debt ceiling has almost been reached, the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, foreign countries will not favor loaning the U.S. money, and we’re almost at 100% of our GDP with our debt, we have to start printing our own money to be able to pay our bills. This will devalue our currency even more. This means that a company like General Mills will be required to pay more for the grain they use to make cereal and the price will then be passed onto the consumer, but wait, are our wages going up? No, our wages will not be going up, our people will have a harder time just providing the basics and this could get out of control very quickly. We could very easily go into hyperinflation which is when the value of the dollar declines so quickly that it becomes harder for the markets to respond and prices skyrocket daily or even possibly hourly, and this ultimately leads to the collapse of a currency. The Weimar Republic only lasted from 1918-1933 and had two currency collapses.

In my final thoughts I ask, what is it that we can do to stop this? Considering George Soros gave the U.S. an ultimatum (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOjckJWqb0A) that we either have a managed decline of the dollar or that the world will do it for us, George Soros is responsible for collapsing the “British Sterling”, and George Soros is also a friend and mentor to President Obama, I think that we have to take action quick. We should all write our Congressman and woman, our Senators, and the President and call for an impeachment and congressional hearings. What is happening here, if it’s not Treason, its borderline Treason. The President of the United States is purposefully trying to collapse our economy, do harm to its citizens, and possibly enslave us. We need to actually take some responsibility and start cutting our government so that we can have a balanced budget. Unfortunately we’ll probably have riots in the streets by the Unions like is happening in the UK and France because they have had to cut back spending in order to repair their credit rating as well. This is not an easy solution nor is it something that I think will actually be done, even under our new Republican leadership. So our choice is to become like the Weimar Republic or to stand up, tighten our belt, and realize that it will be hard at first, but like everything worthwhile we’ll enjoy the rewards.

Sources:
 
http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=188885

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6A12IA20101103?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews
http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/15/what-happens-if-americas-credit-rating-is-downgraded/
http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/us-credit-rating-downgraded/2594
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20101028/ts_nm/us_usa_fed
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weimar_Republic

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